LV businesses optimistic
By: Jennifer Robison
Source: Las Vegas Review Journal
2006-02-20
The Las Vegas economy was strong in 2005, with
nation-leading job growth and below-average unemployment.
And
business owners and managers expect Southern Nevada's economy to remain
fundamentally strong through 2006, despite concerns about taxes,
regulation and competition, according to results from a mail-in survey
conducted in December and January by the Review-Journal and local research
firm MRC Group.
Nearly all respondents -- 94.2 percent -- said
their outlook for 2006 is excellent or good. The remaining 5.8 percent
said they expect a fair economic climate in 2006.
In addition, 84.1
percent of participants said they expect their company to make a bigger
profit in 2006 than in 2005. Seventy percent said they planned to add
employees in 2006, and 87.1 percent said they do not plan to scale back
purchases or payroll in the coming year.
Kara Kelley, president and
chief executive officer of the Las Vegas Chamber of Commerce, said the
survey's upbeat results did not surprise her.
"Businesspeople know
Las Vegas is a great place to do business," Kelley said. "The city has
great economic vitality, and there's a dynamic quality to our economy and
community that generates excitement about the future."
Specific
survey results varied by industry.
The most optimistic respondents
were in banking and finance, where 98 percent of decision makers expect an
excellent or good 2006 and 93 percent look forward to higher profits.
Seventy-two percent plan to add workers this year, and 91 percent said
they will not cut purchasing or payrolls.
Mark Daigle, a member of
the board of directors of the Nevada Bankers Association and Nevada chief
executive officer of Colonial Bank, said the survey's results match the
feedback he hears from industry members.
"The dynamics of growth in
this market continue to be strong," Daigle said. "We still have a lot of
in-migration from outside the market. We've typically relied on California
(for new residents), but we're seeing folks from other markets as well who
are attracted to the economic climate here."
Daigle said national
speculation that the local high-rise market is deflating doesn't affect
local banks because the city's homegrown financial institutions generally
don't make loans for the construction of luxury towers. And although the
rate of housing appreciation has slowed, local home values continue to
rise at healthy levels, he added.
"There's plenty of reason for
optimism," Daigle said. "From a business standpoint, this market continues
to grow, and from a retail and consumer standpoint, it continues to grow.
Construction jobs continue to be created and gaming and residential growth
are helping support growth in the market."
Population expansion is
also driving demand for additional bank branches and loan officers -- one
reason so many companies in the finance sector plan to hire, Daigle
said.
Diane Dutton, treasurer of the Nevada Society of Certified
Public Accountants, said members of the finance field were the most
optimistic because they focus on "real economic indicators" rather than
analysis of subjective expectations such as consumer-confidence surveys,
which have posted uneven results over the last year.
"Housing
starts, visitor numbers, business startups and investment in new
development in our community are all good," Dutton said. "People are
optimistic because all the indicators they see in the market are
positive."
In retailing, sustained population and visitor growth
led 94 percent of respondents to expect an excellent or good 2006.
Eighty-four percent predicted higher profits in 2006, while 77 percent
said they'll boost staff numbers. Also, 88 percent said they will not
reduce purchases or payrolls.
In the service category, which
includes companies in landscaping, architecture and advertising, among
other fields, 94 percent of survey participants said they look forward to
a stronger year ahead, with 84 percent forecasting higher profits and 77
percent aiming to hire more workers. As in other sectors, the vast
majority -- 88 percent -- said they will not drop purchases or payroll in
2006.
Among respondents in gaming and tourism, 87 percent said they
believe 2006 will be an excellent or good year for their business. The
same number predicted they would have both higher profits and more workers
in 2006, while 80 percent said they will not slash purchases or
payrolls.
Bill Bible, president of the Nevada Resort Association,
said the positive outlook in his industry comes in part from a solid
2005.
"2005 was a very good year, especially in Southern Nevada,
with record-breaking (gaming wins)," Bible said. "The results reflect
optimism that the industry's strength will continue in 2006. The year is
off to a good start in the first two months."
The restaurant sector
posted the lowest expectations, with 82 percent anticipating an excellent
or good year, and the same number forecasting higher profits, more hiring
and sustained levels of purchases and payrolls.
Businesses varied
by sector in the problems they said they might face in the next two
years.
Decision makers in both restaurants and retail said they are
most concerned about state and local taxes, while those in finance pointed
to regulatory issues as their biggest hurdle. Companies in gaming and
tourism are focused on competition as a key concern. Among small
businesses in all categories, 51.6 percent said taxes are the most
important issue for the 2007 Legislature to address.
Carole
Vilardo, president of the Nevada Taxpayers Association, said retailers are
especially concerned about taxes because they experience state and local
levies in two phases of operation: First, like any other commercial
entity, they pay taxes as businesses. But their customers also pay sales
taxes, and rising sales taxes could influence consumers' buying
decisions.
"People might not spend what they normally would on a
product if sales taxes are too costly," Vilardo said.
Kelley said
small companies are especially sensitive to any increase in
taxes.
"For small businesses, the cost of doing business is so much
more of an issue on a daily basis than it is for a larger company with
wider resources," Kelley said. "So many small-business owners have gotten
a loan or taken out a second mortgage to invest in their company, so they
look at every added cost pretty significantly."
For banks and
financial companies, concerns about regulation involve the effects red
tape has on clientele.
"We're mostly concerned with regulatory
issues that will constrain the entrepreneurial spirit, that will put an
undue burden of reporting to government agents or that would do anything
to dampen or restrict opportunity," Dutton said.
She added that she
didn't foresee any specific new regulatory constraints in 2006, but she
said it's "inherent in (the financial sector's) nature to be concerned
about regulatory issues more than the burdens of taxes or
competition."
Competition is the main issue for respondents in
gaming and tourism.
Bible said Nevada's tourism market has a
distinctive challenge: It's a substantial distance from many of its major
feeder markets, so gaming operations that develop closer to those markets
could leach customers away from Nevada. Also, industry members worry about
tax advantages some of their competitors might have.
"There's
concern about competition developing, particularly in California, with
tribal gaming," Bible said. "The concern is that gaming conducted by
tribal governments doesn't have a tax impact. Gaming that is operated in
tribal environments is essentially tax free, other than minor taxes paid
to states for regulation."
Bible said industry members are somewhat
divided about tribal gaming, since several local operators have management
agreements to run tribal casinos. Some of the profits from those contracts
are reinvested in Nevada.
"From a Nevada perspective, that
(reinvestment) is good, but there's still concern that there might not be
a level playing field in terms of the way gaming is regulated and taxed in
other jurisdictions," Bible said.
Bible said solutions to concerns
about competition from tribal casinos would come from Congress rather than
state governments. Congress is considering revisions to the Indian Gaming
Regulatory Act, the 1988 bill that established the National Indian Gaming
Commission. Updates to the law could include limits on the ability to
locate tribal casinos outside reservations, Bible said.
Despite the
myriad issues that confront Las Vegas businesses, local leaders are
confident that economic growth will characterize 2006.
"What's
really great about optimism among local businesses is that it looks like
that optimism will transfer itself into economic expansion and job
growth," Kelley said. "And when business is good, life is good. People who
have jobs and disposable income have a good quality of life."